Sunak leads Tory poll comeback as Labour lead is slashed by a third

MPs vote through Rishi Sunak’s Brexit deal

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The Conservative fightback seems to be gathering momentum with Labour’s lead at 15 points this week in the Techne UK weekly tracker poll. In a major boost to Rishi Sunak the deficit faced by his party after a series of strong weeks for the Prime Minister has been reduced by seven points, almost a third, in four weeks.

According to the Techne UK findings from a survey of 1,624 voters for, Labour is on 46 percent down one point from last week while the tories are up one on 31 percent.

Despite the turnaround from a month ago when Labour had a lead of 22 percent, the Tories still have a long way to go.

According to Electoral Calculus if this was the result of an election Labour would have a majority of 158 while the Conservatives would be reduced to 171 seats.

However, for the first time since the end of Boris Johnson’s Premiership the predicted seat totals are better than the Tories all time worst result in 1997 when they were reduced to 165 seats and Labour won a majority of 179.

The improvement comes after Mr Sunak’s Northern Ireland deal with the EU and him seeing off a rebellion led by Boris Johnson this week on it.

It also comes after he announced new legislation to tackle illegal immigration and the small boats crisis as well as a Budget which has left the UK at its highest tax level since the Second World War.

However, Techne UK chief executive Michela Morizzo warned against complacency.

She said: “The problems facing Rishi Sunak and his Conservative Government remain considerable.

“The news today the Bank of England has had to raise once again interest rates – from 4 percent to 4.25 percent – together with the collapse of two US banks and the rescue of Swiss lender Credit Suisse by UBS bank are examples of the very difficult financial headwinds continuing to buffet the UK Government.

“That being said our tracker poll released today shows the Conservatives making ground on Labour.

The Labour Party are down 1 point of national vote share to 46% with the Conservative Party up 1 point of national vote share to 31 percent – the Labour lead down to 15 points.”

Ms Morizzo added: “It is too early to say that this is a Conservative comeback, but, this being said, it seems clear that voters appreciated the actions carried out in the last weeks by Rishi Sunak and his Conservative Party.”

The polling shows that the Tories still have a problem with young and middle aged voters with Labour accounting for more than half of voting intentions in the age groups from 18 to 45.

Labour also lead in all age categories although among pensioners it is by just one point by 40 percent to 39 percent.

One in five (19 percent) Tory voters from 2019 still intend to vote Labour at the next election while Starmer’s party now accounts for more than a quarter (27 percent) of 2016 Leave voters.

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